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During surgical correction of facial deformities, accurate prediction of the resulting facial profile is important for the patient and the surgeon. The purpose of the present study was to investigate profile changes after surgical treatment of mandibular prognathism. Thirty patients (20 females and 10 males; ages 17–28 years) with mandibular prognathism underwent vertical ramus osteotomy. Preoperative and postoperative cephalograms were analyzed; landmarks were identified and compared. The mean horizontal setback of the pogonion (Pog) was 11.7 mm. The setback ratios of labrale inferius (Li)/incision inferius (Ii), labiomental sulcus (Si)/point B, and soft tissue pogonion (PogS)/pogonion (Pog) were 0.98, 0.99, and 0.95, respectively. There were no sex-related changes in soft tissue. These findings indicate that changes in soft tissue closely correlate with the amount of mandibular setback in the horizontal direction. Such information might facilitate more accurate prediction of the outcome of orthognathic surgery.