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A genetic score for the prediction of beta-thalassemia severity
oleh: Fabrice Danjou, Marcella Francavilla, Franco Anni, Stefania Satta, Franca-Rosa Demartis, Lucia Perseu, Matteo Manca, Maria Carla Sollaino, Laura Manunza, Elisabetta Mereu, Giuseppe Marceddu, Serge Pissard, Philippe Joly, Isabelle Thuret, Raffaella Origa, Joseph Borg, Gian Luca Forni, Antonio Piga, Maria Eliana Lai, Catherine Badens, Paolo Moi, Renzo Galanello
Format: | Article |
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Diterbitkan: | Ferrata Storti Foundation 2015-04-01 |
Deskripsi
Clinical and hematologic characteristics of beta(β)-thalassemia are determined by several factors resulting in a wide spectrum of severity. Phenotype modulators are: HBB mutations, HBA defects and fetal hemoglobin production modulators (HBG2:g.−158C>T polymorphism, HBS1L-MYB intergenic region and the BCL11A). We characterized 54 genetic variants at these five loci robustly associated with the amelioration of beta-thalassemia phenotype, to build a predictive score of severity using a representative cohort of 890 β-thalassemic patients. Using Cox proportional hazard analysis on a training set, we assessed the effect of these loci on the age at which patient started regular transfusions, built a Thalassemia Severity Score, and validated it on a testing set. Discriminatory power of the model was high (C-index=0.705; R2=0.343) and the validation conducted on the testing set confirmed its predictive accuracy with transfusion-free survival probability (P