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Pre- and post-production processes increasingly dominate greenhouse gas emissions from agri-food systems
oleh: F. N. Tubiello, K. Karl, K. Karl, A. Flammini, A. Flammini, J. Gütschow, G. Obli-Laryea, G. Conchedda, X. Pan, S. Y. Qi, H. Halldórudóttir Heiðarsdóttir, N. Wanner, R. Quadrelli, L. Rocha Souza, P. Benoit, M. Hayek, D. Sandalow, E. Mencos Contreras, E. Mencos Contreras, C. Rosenzweig, C. Rosenzweig, J. Rosero Moncayo, P. Conforti, M. Torero
Format: | Article |
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Diterbitkan: | Copernicus Publications 2022-04-01 |
Deskripsi
<p>We present results from the FAOSTAT emissions shares database, covering emissions from agri-food systems and their shares to total anthropogenic emissions for 196 countries and 40 territories for the period 1990–2019. We find that in 2019, global agri-food system emissions were 16.5 (95 %; CI range: 11–22) billion metric tonnes (Gt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> eq. yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>), corresponding to 31 % (range: 19 %–43 %) of total anthropogenic emissions. Of the agri-food system total, global emissions within the farm gate – from crop and livestock production processes including on-farm energy use – were 7.2 Gt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> eq. yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>; emissions from land use change, due to deforestation and peatland degradation, were 3.5 Gt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> eq. yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>; and emissions from pre- and post-production processes – manufacturing of fertilizers, food processing, packaging, transport, retail, household consumption and food waste disposal – were 5.8 Gt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> eq. yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>. Over the study period 1990–2019, agri-food system emissions increased in total by 17 %, largely driven by a doubling of emissions from pre- and post-production processes. Conversely, the FAOSTAT data show that since 1990 land use emissions decreased by 25 %, while emissions within the farm gate increased 9 %. In 2019, in terms of individual greenhouse gases (GHGs), pre- and post-production processes emitted the most CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> (3.9 Gt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>), preceding land use change (3.3 Gt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>) and farm gate (1.2 Gt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>) emissions. Conversely, farm gate activities were by far the major emitter of methane (140 Mt CH<span class="inline-formula"><sub>4</sub></span> yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>) and of nitrous oxide (7.8 Mt N<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span>O yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>). Pre- and post-production processes were also significant emitters of methane (49 Mt CH<span class="inline-formula"><sub>4</sub></span> yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>), mostly generated from the decay of solid food waste in landfills and open dumps. One key trend over the 30-year period since 1990 highlighted by our analysis is the increasingly important role of food-related emissions generated outside of agricultural land, in pre- and post-production processes along the agri-food system, at global, regional and national scales. In fact, our data show that by 2019, pre- and post-production processes had overtaken farm gate processes to become the largest GHG component of agri-food system emissions in Annex I parties (2.2 Gt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> eq. yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>). They also more than doubled in non-Annex I parties (to 3.5 Gt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> eq. yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>), becoming larger than emissions from land use change. By 2019 food supply chains had become the largest agri-food system component in China (1100 Mt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> eq. yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>), the USA (700 Mt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> eq. yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>) and the EU-27 (600 Mt CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> eq. yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>). This has important repercussions for food-relevant national mitigation strategies, considering that until recently these have focused mainly on reductions of non-CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> gases within the farm gate and on CO<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span> mitigation from land use change. The information used in this work is available as open data with DOI <a href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5615082">https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5615082</a> (Tubiello et al., 2021d). It is also available to users via the FAOSTAT database (<span class="uri">https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/EM</span>; FAO, 2021a), with annual updates.</p>