Comparison of the 2021 COVID-19 roadmap projections against public health data in England
oleh: Matt J. Keeling, Louise Dyson, Michael J. Tildesley, Edward M. Hill, Samuel Moore
| Format: | Article |
|---|---|
| Diterbitkan: | Nature Portfolio 2022-08-01 |
Deskripsi
The ’Roadmap’ for relaxation of COVID-19 restrictions in England in 2021 was informed by mathematical modelling. Here, the authors perform a retrospective assessment of the accuracy of modelling predictions and identify the main sources of uncertainty that led to observed values deviating from projections.