Phillips Curve In A Small Open Economy: A Time Series Exploration Of North Cyprus

oleh: Muhammad Shahbaz, Faridul Islam, Muhammad Shahbaz Shabbir

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: University of Central Punjab 2011-12-01

Deskripsi

he paper explores the existence and the stability of Phillips curve for North Cyprus, a small developing economy, using time series data. ADF unit root test is employed to check for stationarity. ARDL and DOLS approaches to cointegration have been used to explore the long run relation and ECM to understand short run dynamics. The predictive properties DOLS are better than those of the conventional methods. The estimates point to the existence of Phillips curve both in the long and the short run. CUSUM and CUSUMsq tests confirm a stable relation.