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Western European emission estimates of CFC-11, CFC-12 and CCl<sub>4</sub> derived from atmospheric measurements from 2008 to 2021
oleh: A. L. Redington, A. J. Manning, S. Henne, F. Graziosi, F. Graziosi, L. M. Western, L. M. Western, J. Arduini, A. L. Ganesan, C. M. Harth, M. Maione, J. Mühle, S. O'Doherty, J. Pitt, S. Reimann, M. Rigby, P. K. Salameh, P. G. Simmonds, T. G. Spain, K. Stanley, M. K. Vollmer, R. F. Weiss, D. Young
| Format: | Article |
|---|---|
| Diterbitkan: | Copernicus Publications 2023-07-01 |
Deskripsi
<p>Production and consumption of CFC-11 (trichlorofluoromethane, CCl<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span>F), CFC-12 (dichlorodifluoromethane, CCl<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span>F<span class="inline-formula"><sub>2</sub></span>) and CCl<span class="inline-formula"><sub>4</sub></span> (carbon tetrachloride) are controlled under the regulations of the Montreal Protocol and have been phased out globally since 2010. Only CCl<span class="inline-formula"><sub>4</sub></span> is still widely produced as a chemical feedstock. After 2010, emissions of CFC-11 and CFC-12 should therefore mostly originate from existing banks (e.g. from foams, mobile air conditioning units and refrigerators); however evidence has emerged of an increase in global emissions of CFC-11 in the last decade, some of which has not been fully accounted for. The motivation for this work was to assess the emissions of CFC-11, CFC-12 and CCl<span class="inline-formula"><sub>4</sub></span> from western Europe. All countries in this region have been subject to the controls of the Montreal Protocol since the late 1980s and, as non-Article 5 Parties, have been prohibited from producing CFCs and CCl<span class="inline-formula"><sub>4</sub></span> for dispersive use since 1996. Four different inverse modelling systems are used to estimate emissions of these gases from 2008 to 2021 using data from four atmospheric measurement stations: Mace Head (Ireland), Jungfraujoch (Switzerland), Monte Cimone (Italy) and Tacolneston (UK). The average of the four model studies found that western European emissions of CFC-11, CFC-12 and CCl<span class="inline-formula"><sub>4</sub></span> between 2008 and 2021 were declining at 3.5 % yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span> (2.7 % yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>–4.8 % yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>), 7.7 % yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span> (6.3 % yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>–8.0 % yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>) and 4.4 % yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span> (2.6 % yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>–6.4 % yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span>), respectively. Even though the emissions were declining throughout the period, the area including northern France, Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg showed consistently elevated emissions of CFC-11 compared with the surrounding regions. Emissions of CFC-12 were slightly elevated in the same region. CCl<span class="inline-formula"><sub>4</sub></span> emissions were the highest in the south of France. France had the highest emissions of all three gases over the period 2008–2021. Emissions from western Europe (2008–2021) were on average 2.4 <span class="inline-formula">±</span> 0.4 Gg (CFC-11), 1.3 <span class="inline-formula">±</span> 0.3 Gg (CFC-12) and 0.9 <span class="inline-formula">±</span> 0.2 Gg (CCl<span class="inline-formula"><sub>4</sub></span>). Our estimated decline in emissions of CFC-11 is consistent with a western European bank release rate of 3.4 % (2.6 %–4.5 %). This study concludes that emissions of CFC-11, CFC-12 and CCl<span class="inline-formula"><sub>4</sub></span> have all declined from 2008 to 2021 in western<span id="page7384"/> Europe. Therefore, no evidence is found that western European emissions contributed to the unexplained part of the global increase in atmospheric concentrations of CFC-11 observed in the last decade.</p>