On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks

oleh: Samuel V. Scarpino, Giovanni Petri

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: Nature Portfolio 2019-02-01

Deskripsi

Forecasting of infectious disease outbreaks can inform appropriate intervention measures, but whether fundamental limits to accurate prediction exist is unclear. Here, the authors use permutation entropy as a model independent measure of predictability to study limitations across a broad set of infectious diseases.