Incorporating temporal distribution of population-level viral load enables real-time estimation of COVID-19 transmission

oleh: Yun Lin, Bingyi Yang, Sarah Cobey, Eric H. Y. Lau, Dillon C. Adam, Jessica Y. Wong, Helen S. Bond, Justin K. Cheung, Faith Ho, Huizhi Gao, Sheikh Taslim Ali, Nancy H. L. Leung, Tim K. Tsang, Peng Wu, Gabriel M. Leung, Benjamin J. Cowling

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: Nature Portfolio 2022-03-01

Deskripsi

The time-varying effective reproductive number (Rt) is useful for monitoring transmission of infections such as COVID-19, but reporting delays impact case count-based estimation methods. Here, the authors demonstrate and validate a method for estimation of Rt based on viral load data from Hong Kong that does not require accurate daily counts.