Interval model of a wind turbine power curve

oleh: Kai Zhou, Hao Han, Junfen Li, Yongjie Wang, Wei Tang, Fei Han, Yulei Li, Ruyu Bi, Haitao Zhao, Lingxiao Jiao

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-11-01

Deskripsi

The wind turbine power curve model is critical to a wind turbine’s power prediction and performance analysis. However, abnormal data in the training set decrease the prediction accuracy of trained models. This paper proposes a sample average approach-based method to construct an interval model of a wind turbine, which increases robustness against abnormal data and further improves the model accuracy. We compare our proposed methods with the traditional neural network-based and Bayesian neural network-based models in experimental data-based validations. Our model shows better performance in both accuracy and computational time.