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The year 2016 will go down as a Black Swan year in terms of how many seemingly unlikely events actually came to pass.Leicester City, as 5,000–1 underdogs, won the English Premier League football (or for North Americans soccer) competition —perhaps the biggest sporting upset anywhere, ever.Then there was the Brexit referendum where UK voters, against what almost all the polls were predicting, opted for ‘Leave’ in a comparatively decisive fashion.If anything the polls were even more out of kilter in telling anyone listening that Hillary Clinton was a shoe-in to win the November US Presidential election.The received wisdom, and virtually all of the media class, exclaimed that Donald Trump did not have a hope of winning.