Estimation of Near-Surface Ozone Concentration Across China and Its Spatiotemporal Variations During the COVID-19 Pandemic

oleh: Shikang Guan, Xiaotong Zhang, Wenbo Zhao, Yanjun Duan, Xinpei Han, Lingfeng Lv, Mengyao Li, Bo Jiang, Yunjun Yao, Shunlin Liang

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: IEEE 2024-01-01

Deskripsi

China has made remarkable progress in controlling particulate matter, while O<sub>3</sub> pollution over China has become increasingly severe in recent years according to ground observations. Continuous monitoring of dynamic changes in O<sub>3</sub> concentrations on regional and national scales can provide valuable insights for pollution control policies. Therefore, an improved similarity distance-based space-time random forest (SDSTRF) model was developed to estimate the near-surface O<sub>3</sub> concentration using the surface measurements, satellite O<sub>3</sub> precursors, meteorological variables, and other auxiliary information. The O<sub>3</sub> concentration data over China were generated based on the developed model with a spatial resolution of 10 km and a temporal resolution of 1 day from 2016 to 2022. The validation results against the ground measurements indicate that the developed SDSTRF model effectively captures O<sub>3</sub> variations, achieving a coefficient of determination of 0.83 and a root mean square error of 20.37 &#x03BC;g&#x002F;m<sup>3</sup>. The spatiotemporal variations of O<sub>3</sub> concentrations were investigated using the generated dataset. A significant increasing trend of 1.243 &#x03BC;g&#x002F;m<sup>3</sup>&#x002F;yr in O<sub>3</sub> concentrations was observed in eastern China during the COVID-19 pandemic, which was attributed to changes in NO<sub>x</sub> concentrations. In this study, the possible reasons for the increase in O<sub>3</sub> concentrations are also discussed. Overall, the improved SDSTRF model and the comprehensive analysis of the spatiotemporal variations of near-surface O<sub>3</sub> will significantly contribute to achieving clean air in China.