Probabilistic tsunami forecasting for early warning
oleh: J. Selva, S. Lorito, M. Volpe, F. Romano, R. Tonini, P. Perfetti, F. Bernardi, M. Taroni, A. Scala, A. Babeyko, F. Løvholt, S. J. Gibbons, J. Macías, M. J. Castro, J. M. González-Vida, C. Sánchez-Linares, H. B. Bayraktar, R. Basili, F. E. Maesano, M. M. Tiberti, F. Mele, A. Piatanesi, A. Amato
| Format: | Article |
|---|---|
| Diterbitkan: | Nature Portfolio 2021-09-01 |
Deskripsi
Probabilistic tsunami forecasting (PTF) defines an approach to tsunami early warning based on uncertainty quantification, enhancing forecast accuracy and enabling rational decision making. PTF is here developed for near-source tsunami warning, and tested in hindcasting mode over a wide range of past earthquakes.