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Canicule et surmortalité à Paris en août 2003
oleh: Emmanuelle Cadot, Alfred Spira
Format: | Article |
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Diterbitkan: | Université des Sciences et Technologies de Lille 2006-12-01 |
Deskripsi
The excess mortality related to the August 2003 heat-wave occurred with different intensity according to places: it was more important in Île-de-France and in the Centre region that in other areas of France. Its impact was more massive in urban environment than in the rural communes. In Paris, the expression of the excess mortality was clearly exacerbated with an increase of almost 190% of mortality between 1st and August 20th 2003 compared to the previous years. However, this extra-mortality did not occur in a homogeneous way in the city. The analysis of the space disparities of mortality in the city was led on the deaths domiciled according to two levels of aggregation, the districts (20) and the quarters (80). It rests, in other, on the cartography of simple indicators of mortality (standardized ratio of mortality) and of excess mortality. The determination of the factors of social risks (socio-demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the population) and contextual (temperature, pollution) is based on the construction of a Poisson regression model. In 2003 a space structure of mortality very different from that of the previous years review was highlighted: it is characterized by a pole of excess mortality in the south of the city. This shift of mortality is the result of a narrow intrication between socio-economic factors and other factors, such as the levels of pollution or the intra-urban variations of temperature. Beyond the dramatic dimension of this without precedent event, the study puts forward the social and economic precariousness of a part of the old population in the capital. This study thus stresses in a strong way the importance of the links between various dimensions (medical, social and contextual) of a health phenomenon.