Disentangling climatic and anthropogenic controls on global terrestrial evapotranspiration trends

oleh: Jiafu Mao, Wenting Fu, Xiaoying Shi, Daniel M Ricciuto, Joshua B Fisher, Robert E Dickinson, Yaxing Wei, Willis Shem, Shilong Piao, Kaicun Wang, Christopher R Schwalm, Hanqin Tian, Mingquan Mu, Altaf Arain, Philippe Ciais, Robert Cook, Yongjiu Dai, Daniel Hayes, Forrest M Hoffman, Maoyi Huang, Suo Huang, Deborah N Huntzinger, Akihiko Ito, Atul Jain, Anthony W King, Huimin Lei, Chaoqun Lu, Anna M Michalak, Nicholas Parazoo, Changhui Peng, Shushi Peng, Benjamin Poulter, Kevin Schaefer, Elchin Jafarov, Peter E Thornton, Weile Wang, Ning Zeng, Zhenzhong Zeng, Fang Zhao, Qiuan Zhu, Zaichun Zhu

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: IOP Publishing 2015-01-01

Deskripsi

We examined natural and anthropogenic controls on terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) changes from 1982 to 2010 using multiple estimates from remote sensing-based datasets and process-oriented land surface models. A significant increasing trend of ET in each hemisphere was consistently revealed by observationally-constrained data and multi-model ensembles that considered historic natural and anthropogenic drivers. The climate impacts were simulated to determine the spatiotemporal variations in ET. Globally, rising CO _2 ranked second in these models after the predominant climatic influences, and yielded decreasing trends in canopy transpiration and ET, especially for tropical forests and high-latitude shrub land. Increasing nitrogen deposition slightly amplified global ET via enhanced plant growth. Land-use-induced ET responses, albeit with substantial uncertainties across the factorial analysis, were minor globally, but pronounced locally, particularly over regions with intensive land-cover changes. Our study highlights the importance of employing multi-stream ET and ET-component estimates to quantify the strengthening anthropogenic fingerprint in the global hydrologic cycle.