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Germanium is becoming an important material for mid-infrared photonics, but the modulation mechanisms in Ge are not yet well understood. In this paper, we estimate the size of free-carrier electroabsorption and electrorefraction effects in germanium across the 2 to 16-μm wavelength range at 300 K. The predictions are based as much as possible upon experimental absorption data from the literature and are supported by extrapolations from experimental data using first-principle quantum theoretical modeling. We find that free-carrier absorption is substantially stronger in Ge than in Si.