Inferring time-varying generation time, serial interval, and incubation period distributions for COVID-19

oleh: Dongxuan Chen, Yiu-Chung Lau, Xiao-Ke Xu, Lin Wang, Zhanwei Du, Tim K. Tsang, Peng Wu, Eric H. Y. Lau, Jacco Wallinga, Benjamin J. Cowling, Sheikh Taslim Ali

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: Nature Portfolio 2022-12-01

Deskripsi

The generation time (interval between successive infections in a transmission chain) is an important parameter for epidemiological modeling. Here, the authors develop a framework for estimating this parameter and how it changes over time and apply it to data from China in the first months of the pandemic.