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A Simple Predictive Score to Distinguish between Disseminated Histoplasmosis and Tuberculosis in Patients with HIV
oleh: Mathieu Nacher, Kinan Drak Alsibai, Loïc Epelboin, Philippe Abboud, Frédégonde About, Magalie Demar, Félix Djossou, Romain Blaizot, Maylis Douine, Nadia Sabbah, Nicolas Vignier, Leila Adriouch, Aude Lucarelli, Mathilde Boutrou, Pierre Couppié, Antoine Adenis
| Format: | Article |
|---|---|
| Diterbitkan: | MDPI AG 2021-12-01 |
Deskripsi
Disseminated histoplasmosis is a common differential diagnosis of tuberculosis in disease-endemic areas. We aimed to find a predictive score to orient clinicians towards disseminated histoplasmosis or tuberculosis when facing a non-specific infectious syndrome in patients with advanced HIV disease. We reanalyzed data from a retrospective study in Cayenne Hospital between January 1997–December 2008 comparing disseminated histoplasmosis and tuberculosis: 100 confirmed disseminated histoplasmosis cases and 88 confirmed tuberculosis cases were included. A simple logit regression model was constructed to predict whether a case was tuberculosis or disseminated histoplasmosis. From this model, a score may be obtained, where the natural logarithm of the probability of disseminated histoplasmosis/tuberculosis = +3.917962 × WHO performance score (1 if >2, 0 if ≤2) −1.624642 × Pulmonary presentation (1 yes, 0 no) +2.245819 × Adenopathies > 2 cm (1 yes, 0 no) −0.015898 × CD4 count − 0.001851 × ASAT − 0.000871 × Neutrophil count − 0.000018 × Platelet count + 6.053793. The area under the curve was 98.55%. The sensitivity of the model to distinguish between disseminated histoplasmosis and tuberculosis was 95% (95% CI = 88.7–98.3%), and the specificity was 93% (95% CI = 85.7.3–97.4%). In conclusion, we here present a clinical-biological predictive score, using simple variables available on admission, that seemed to perform very well to discriminate disseminated histoplasmosis from tuberculosis in French Guiana in well characterized patients.