Intensity and drivers of subtypes interference between seasonal influenza viruses in mainland China: A modeling study

oleh: Can Chen, Mengya Yang, Yu Wang, Daixi Jiang, Yuxia Du, Kexin Cao, Xiaobao Zhang, Xiaoyue Wu, Mengsha Chen, Yue You, Wenkai Zhou, Jiaxing Qi, Rui Yan, Changtai Zhu, Shigui Yang

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: Elsevier 2024-03-01

Deskripsi

Summary: Subtype interference has a significant impact on the epidemiological patterns of seasonal influenza viruses (SIVs). We used attributable risk percent [the absolute value of the ratio of the effective reproduction number (Rₑ) of different subtypes minus one] to quantify interference intensity between A/H1N1 and A/H3N2, as well as B/Victoria and B/Yamagata. The interference intensity between A/H1N1 and A/H3N2 was higher in southern China 0.26 (IQR: 0.11–0.46) than in northern China 0.17 (IQR: 0.07–0.24). Similarly, interference intensity between B/Victoria and B/Yamagata was also higher in southern China 0.14 (IQR: 0.07–0.24) than in norther China 0.10 (IQR: 0.04–0.18). High relative humidity significantly increased subtype interference, with the highest relative risk reaching 20.59 (95% CI: 6.12–69.33) in southern China. Southern China exhibited higher levels of subtype interference, particularly between A/H1N1 and A/H3N2. Higher relative humidity has a more pronounced promoting effect on subtype interference.