Decrease in tropospheric O<sub>3</sub> levels in the Northern Hemisphere observed by IASI

oleh: C. Wespes, D. Hurtmans, C. Clerbaux, C. Clerbaux, A. Boynard, P.-F. Coheur

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: Copernicus Publications 2018-05-01

Deskripsi

In this study, we describe the recent changes in the tropospheric ozone (O<sub>3</sub>) columns measured by the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI), onboard the Metop satellite, during the first 9 years of operation (January 2008 to May 2017). Using appropriate multivariate regression methods, we differentiate significant linear trends from other sources of O<sub>3</sub> variations captured by IASI. The geographical patterns of the adjusted O<sub>3</sub> trends are provided and discussed on the global scale. Given the large contribution of the natural variability in comparison with that of the trend (25–85 % vs. 15–50 %, respectively) to the total O<sub>3</sub> variations, we estimate that additional years of IASI measurements are generally required to detect the estimated O<sub>3</sub> trends with high precision. Globally, additional 6 months to 6 years of measurements, depending on the regions and the seasons, are needed to detect a trend of |5| DU decade<sup>−1</sup>. An exception is interestingly found during summer at mid- and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere (NH; ∼ 40 to ∼ 75° N), where the large absolute fitted trend values (∼ |0.5| DU yr<sup>−1</sup> on average) combined with the small model residuals (∼ 10 %) allow for detection of a band-like pattern of significant negative trends. Despite no consensus in terms of tropospheric O<sub>3</sub> trends having been reached from the available independent datasets (UV or IR satellites, O<sub>3</sub> sondes, aircrafts, ground-based measurements, etc.) for the reasons that are discussed in the text, this finding is consistent with the reported decrease in O<sub>3</sub> precursor emissions in recent years, especially in Europe and USA. The influence of continental pollution on that latitudinal band is further investigated and supported by the analysis of the O<sub>3</sub>–CO relationship (in terms of correlation coefficient, regression slope and covariance) that we found to be the strongest at northern midlatitudes in summer.