Perfluorocyclobutane (PFC-318, <i>c</i>-C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub>) in the global atmosphere

oleh: J. Mühle, C. M. Trudinger, L. M. Western, M. Rigby, M. K. Vollmer, S. Park, A. J. Manning, D. Say, A. Ganesan, L. P. Steele, D. J. Ivy, T. Arnold, T. Arnold, S. Li, A. Stohl, C. M. Harth, P. K. Salameh, A. McCulloch, S. O'Doherty, M.-K. Park, C. O. Jo, D. Young, K. M. Stanley, P. B. Krummel, B. Mitrevski, O. Hermansen, C. Lunder, N. Evangeliou, B. Yao, J. Kim, B. Hmiel, C. Buizert, V. V. Petrenko, J. Arduini, J. Arduini, M. Maione, M. Maione, D. M. Etheridge, E. Michalopoulou, M. Czerniak, J. P. Severinghaus, S. Reimann, P. G. Simmonds, P. J. Fraser, R. G. Prinn, R. F. Weiss

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: Copernicus Publications 2019-08-01

Deskripsi

<p>We reconstruct atmospheric abundances of the potent greenhouse gas <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> (perfluorocyclobutane, perfluorocarbon PFC-318) from measurements of in situ, archived, firn, and aircraft air samples with precisions of <span class="inline-formula">∼1</span>&thinsp;%–2&thinsp;% reported on the SIO-14 gravimetric calibration scale. Combined with inverse methods, we found near-zero atmospheric abundances from the early 1900s to the early 1960s, after which they rose sharply, reaching 1.66&thinsp;ppt (parts per trillion dry-air mole fraction) in 2017. Global <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> emissions rose from near zero in the 1960s to <span class="inline-formula">1.2±0.1</span> (1<span class="inline-formula"><i>σ</i></span>)&thinsp;Gg&thinsp;yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span> in the late 1970s to late 1980s, then declined to <span class="inline-formula">0.77±0.03</span>&thinsp;Gg&thinsp;yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span> in the mid-1990s to early 2000s, followed by a rise since the early 2000s to <span class="inline-formula">2.20±0.05</span>&thinsp;Gg&thinsp;yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span> in 2017. These emissions are significantly larger than inventory-based emission estimates. Estimated emissions from eastern Asia rose from 0.36&thinsp;Gg&thinsp;yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span> in 2010 to 0.73&thinsp;Gg&thinsp;yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span> in 2016 and 2017, 31&thinsp;% of global emissions, mostly from eastern China. We estimate emissions of 0.14&thinsp;Gg&thinsp;yr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−1</sup></span> from northern and central India in 2016 and find evidence for significant emissions from Russia. In contrast, recent emissions from northwestern Europe and Australia are estimated to be small (<span class="inline-formula">≤1</span>&thinsp;% each). We suggest that emissions from China, India, and<span id="page10336"/> Russia are likely related to production of polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE, “Teflon”) and other fluoropolymers and fluorochemicals that are based on the pyrolysis of hydrochlorofluorocarbon HCFC-22 (<span class="inline-formula">CHClF<sub>2</sub></span>) in which <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> is a known by-product. The semiconductor sector, where <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> is used, is estimated to be a small source, at least in South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and Europe. Without an obvious correlation with population density, incineration of waste-containing fluoropolymers is probably a minor source, and we find no evidence of emissions from electrolytic production of aluminum in Australia. While many possible emissive uses of <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> are known and though we cannot categorically exclude unknown sources, the start of significant emissions may well be related to the advent of commercial PTFE production in 1947. Process controls or abatement to reduce the <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> by-product were probably not in place in the early decades, explaining the increase in emissions in the 1960s and 1970s. With the advent of by-product reporting requirements to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in the 1990s, concern about climate change and product stewardship, abatement, and perhaps the collection of <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> by-product for use in the semiconductor industry where it can be easily abated, it is conceivable that emissions in developed countries were stabilized and then reduced, explaining the observed emission reduction in the 1980s and 1990s. Concurrently, production of PTFE in China began to increase rapidly. Without emission reduction requirements, it is plausible that global emissions today are dominated by China and other developing countries. We predict that <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> emissions will continue to rise and that <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> will become the second most important emitted PFC in terms of <span class="inline-formula">CO<sub>2</sub></span>-equivalent emissions within a year or two. The 2017 radiative forcing of <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> (0.52&thinsp;mW&thinsp;m<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−2</sup></span>) is small but emissions of <span class="inline-formula"><i>c</i></span>-<span class="inline-formula">C<sub>4</sub>F<sub>8</sub></span> and other PFCs, due to their very long atmospheric lifetimes, essentially permanently alter Earth's radiative budget and should be reduced. Significant emissions inferred outside of the investigated regions clearly show that observational capabilities and reporting requirements need to be improved to understand global and country-scale emissions of PFCs and other synthetic greenhouse gases and ozone-depleting substances.</p>