APLIKASI GENERALIZED SPACE TIME AUTOREGRESSIVE (GSTAR) PADA PEMODELAN VOLUME KENDARAAN MASUK TOL SEMARANG

oleh: Dian Anggraeni, Alan Prahutama, Shofi Andari

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: Universitas Diponegoro 2013-12-01

Deskripsi

Time series data from neighboring separated location often associated both spatially and through time. Generalized space time autoregrresive (GSTAR) model is one of the most common used space-time model to modeling and predicting spatial and time series data. This study applied GSTAR to modeling vehicle volume entering four tollgate (GT) in Semarang City: GT Muktiharjo, GT Gayamsari, GT Tembalang, and GT Manyaran. The data was collected by month from 2003 to 2009. The best model provided by this study is GSTAR (21)-I(1,12) uniformly weighted with the smallest REMSE mean 76834. Key words: GSTAR, Vehicle Volume, Space-Time Model