Find in Library
Search millions of books, articles, and more
Indexed Open Access Databases
Statistical analysis of sub-daily precipitation extremes in Singapore
Yazar:: Ferdinand Beck, András Bárdossy, Jochen Seidel, Thomas Müller, Elvira Fernandez Sanchis, Andreas Hauser
Materyal Türü: | Article |
---|---|
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: | Elsevier 2015-03-01 |
Diğer Bilgiler
Study region: The study was conducted with data from the city state of Singapore, a densely populated and highly urbanized island state close to the equator. Study focus: The study provides a basic statistical characterization of Singapore's precipitation regime. It quantifies the effects of daily and yearly cycles and the connections to the El Niño Southern Oscillation and Sea Surface Temperature on hourly rainfall amounts. A regional regression analysis was applied to detect trends in hourly and daily precipitation extremes. New hydrological insights for the region: • Rainfall events in the early morning and in the afternoon exhibit different spatio-temporal characteristics. • Singapore's precipitation activity is influenced by the El Niño Southern Oscillation, but not during the North-East Monsoon season. During the La Niña phase, seasonal precipitation totals are higher and the arrival of the most intense precipitation events is shifted towards morning hours. • The rainfall regime has been changing during the investigation period from 1981 to 2010. Rainfall totals as well as hourly and daily extremes increased. The increase in daily extremes was the fastest, changing the temporal scaling of the extremes. • The predicted changes in precipitation scaling towards higher daily sums have implications for the management of stormwater run-off. Keywords: Singapore, Precipitation, Trend analysis, Statistical analysis, Monsoon, ENSO