Nationally-representative serostudy of dengue in Bangladesh allows generalizable disease burden estimates

oleh: Henrik Salje, Kishor Kumar Paul, Repon Paul, Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer, Ziaur Rahman, Mohammad Shafiul Alam, Mahmadur Rahman, Hasan Mohammad Al-Amin, James Heffelfinger, Emily Gurley

Format: Article
Diterbitkan: eLife Sciences Publications Ltd 2019-04-01

Deskripsi

Serostudies are needed to answer generalizable questions on disease risk. However, recruitment is usually biased by age or location. We present a nationally-representative study for dengue from 70 communities in Bangladesh. We collected data on risk factors, trapped mosquitoes and tested serum for IgG. Out of 5866 individuals, 24% had evidence of historic infection, ranging from 3% in the north to >80% in Dhaka. Being male (aOR:1.8, [95%CI:1.5–2.0]) and recent travel (aOR:1.3, [1.1–1.8]) were linked to seropositivity. We estimate that 40 million [34.3–47.2] people have been infected nationally, with 2.4 million ([1.3–4.5]) annual infections. Had we visited only 20 communities, seropositivity estimates would have ranged from 13% to 37%, highlighting the lack of representativeness generated by small numbers of communities. Our findings have implications for both the design of serosurveys and tackling dengue in Bangladesh.