Find in Library
Search millions of books, articles, and more
Indexed Open Access Databases
Asymptotic Properties and Application of GSB Process: A Case Study of the COVID-19 Dynamics in Serbia
oleh: Mihailo Jovanović, Vladica Stojanović, Kristijan Kuk, Brankica Popović, Petar Čisar
Format: | Article |
---|---|
Diterbitkan: | MDPI AG 2022-10-01 |
Deskripsi
This paper describes one of the non-linear (and non-stationary) stochastic models, the GSB (Gaussian, or Generalized, Split-BREAK) process, which is used in the analysis of time series with pronounced and accentuated fluctuations. In the beginning, the stochastic structure of the GSB process and its important distributional and asymptotic properties are given. To that end, a method based on characteristic functions (CFs) was used. Various procedures for the estimation of model parameters, asymptotic properties, and numerical simulations of the obtained estimators are also investigated. Finally, as an illustration of the practical application of the GSB process, an analysis is presented of the dynamics and stochastic distribution of the infected and immunized population in relation to the disease COVID-19 in the territory of the Republic of Serbia.