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Hydrologic regionalization of non-stationary intensity–duration–frequency relationships for Indian mainland
oleh: Meera G Mohan, Akhilesh AR, Adarsh S, Badarinadh S, Ajeesh Krishnan, Anand Rajan
Format: | Article |
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Diterbitkan: | IWA Publishing 2023-06-01 |
Deskripsi
Intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curve is one of the important hydrologic tools used for the design of hydraulic infrastructure. The static return period assumption of precipitation extremes is invalid in a changing climate environment, and the underestimation of rainfall intensity may lead to the failure of infrastructure in extreme events. This study first developed the non-stationary (NS) IDF curves for six selected locations in India based on sub-daily station data based on time-dependent estimates of five combinations of Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution parameters. Then, in order to identify the critical regions of rainfall non-stationarity, the IDF curves were developed for 357 grid points over India using the daily gridded data for the period 1951–2016 at 1° × 1° resolution. The comparison of spatial patterns of rainfall intensity estimates under stationary and non-stationary showed that about 23% of grids showed an overestimation of NS rainfall over their stationary counterparts by at least 15%. About 32 grid locations which showed at least 15% overestimation of rainfall under an NS case displayed a significantly increasing rainfall trend. The majority of the grids with larger deviation of non-stationary rainfall estimates over stationary values are located in India's eastern regions and coastal belts. HIGHLIGHTS Developed non-stationary IDF curves for the whole of India.; Variation in location and scale parameters governs the fitting of the best model of over 85% of grids.; About 23% of regions showed high non-stationarity of rainfall.; Higher levels of non-stationarity were observed in Coastal regions and Eastern parts.;