Transmission selects for HIV-1 strains of intermediate virulence: a modelling approach. by George Shirreff, Lorenzo Pellis, Oliver Laeyendecker, Christophe Fraser

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Nine challenges for deterministic epidemic models by Mick Roberts, Viggo Andreasen, Alun Lloyd, Lorenzo Pellis

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Canada needs to rapidly escalate public health interventions for its COVID-19 mitigation strategies by Francesca Scarabel, Lorenzo Pellis, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi, Jianhong Wu

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Large Variations in HIV-1 Viral Load Explained by Shifting-Mosaic Metapopulation Dynamics. by Katrina A Lythgoe, François Blanquart, Lorenzo Pellis, Christophe Fraser

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Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions by Lorenzo Pellis, Simon Cauchemez, Neil M. Ferguson, Christophe Fraser

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A renewal equation model to assess roles and limitations of contact tracing for disease outbreak control by Francesca Scarabel, Lorenzo Pellis, Nicholas H. Ogden, Jianhong Wu

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Systematic Approximations to Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible Dynamics on Networks. by Matt J Keeling, Thomas House, Alison J Cooper, Lorenzo Pellis

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Growth, reproduction numbers and factors affecting the spread of SARS-CoV-2 novel variants of concern in the UK from October 2020 to July 2021: a modelling analysis by Feng Xu, Ian Hall, Thomas Ward, Alex Glaser, Alexander Johnsen, Lorenzo Pellis

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Eight challenges for network epidemic models by Lorenzo Pellis, Frank Ball, Shweta Bansal, Ken Eames, Thomas House, Valerie Isham, Pieter Trapman

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Seven challenges for metapopulation models of epidemics, including households models by Frank Ball, Tom Britton, Thomas House, Valerie Isham, Denis Mollison, Lorenzo Pellis, Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba

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Seven challenges in modeling pathogen dynamics within-host and across scales by Julia R. Gog, Lorenzo Pellis, James L.N. Wood, Angela R. McLean, Nimalan Arinaminpathy, James O. Lloyd-Smith

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Superinfection and the evolution of an initial asymptomatic stage by Chadi M. Saad-Roy, Bryan T. Grenfell, Simon A. Levin, Lorenzo Pellis, Helena B. Stage, P. van den Driessche, Ned S. Wingreen

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The challenges of data in future pandemics by Nigel Shadbolt, Alys Brett, Min Chen, Glenn Marion, Iain J. McKendrick, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Lorenzo Pellis, Richard Reeve, Ben Swallow

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Possible future waves of SARS-CoV-2 infection generated by variants of concern with a range of characteristics by Louise Dyson, Edward M. Hill, Sam Moore, Jacob Curran-Sebastian, Michael J. Tildesley, Katrina A. Lythgoe, Thomas House, Lorenzo Pellis, Matt J. Keeling

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Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them by Glenn Marion, Liza Hadley, Valerie Isham, Denis Mollison, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Lorenzo Pellis, Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba, Francesca Scarabel, Ben Swallow, Pieter Trapman, Daniel Villela

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The role of case proximity in transmission of visceral leishmaniasis in a highly endemic village in Bangladesh. by Lloyd A C Chapman, Chris P Jewell, Simon E F Spencer, Lorenzo Pellis, Samik Datta, Rajib Chowdhury, Caryn Bern, Graham F Medley, T Déirdre Hollingsworth

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Novel methods for estimating the instantaneous and overall COVID-19 case fatality risk among care home residents in England. by Christopher E Overton, Luke Webb, Uma Datta, Mike Fursman, Jo Hardstaff, Iina Hiironen, Karthik Paranthaman, Heather Riley, James Sedgwick, Julia Verne, Steve Willner, Lorenzo Pellis, Ian Hall

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Estimating the household secondary attack rate and serial interval of COVID-19 using social media by Aarzoo Dhiman, Elad Yom-Tov, Lorenzo Pellis, Michael Edelstein, Richard Pebody, Andrew Hayward, Thomas House, Thomas Finnie, David Guzman, Vasileios Lampos, Virus Watch Consortium, Ingemar J. Cox

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EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England. by Christopher E Overton, Lorenzo Pellis, Helena B Stage, Francesca Scarabel, Joshua Burton, Christophe Fraser, Ian Hall, Thomas A House, Chris Jewell, Anel Nurtay, Filippo Pagani, Katrina A Lythgoe

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Modelling the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on workplace transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the home-delivery sector. by Carl A Whitfield, Martie van Tongeren, Yang Han, Hua Wei, Sarah Daniels, Martyn Regan, David W Denning, Arpana Verma, Lorenzo Pellis, Ian Hall, with the University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group

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